Seahawks Vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview
Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Bets
One game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will face off with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California
With this being the biggest game of the year, there was no chance I might cover this alone. Thankfully, our really own Danny Burke volunteered to assist shoulder the weight and break down Super Bowl LX.
Excitement is in the air so let's jump right into the big video game.
For additional information on choices, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, have a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.
Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.
- Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
- Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST
Quarterback Matchup
- Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
- New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)
Analysis & Breakdown
What's the Patriot Way? Winning games, no matter how awful it gets.
Recently's matchup with the Broncos was precisely that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which way. The game saw less than 400 total backyards between the 2 groups, simply 17 total points and a scoreless 4th quarter.
Drake Maye tossed for a season low 86 lawns, finished less than 50% of his passes, but he did run in the one and only Patriots touchdown. Against Houston, Maye threw for 179 lawns, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.
In the postseason, Maye's played 3 games and he's completing just 55.8% of his passes, balancing 177.7 pass lawns per game, with 4 goal passes and 5 overall turnovers. It hasn't been quite, but that's why there's 2 sides of the football.
New England leads all playoff teams in opponent points allowed (8.7/ video game), challenger backyards (208.7/ game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the regular season, this defense ranks fourth in points allowed, 9th in pass backyards allowed and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; among the most feared corners in the video game.
The Patriots are constructed to win awful, however their likewise constructed to win quite. Maye's been an MVP prospect for the majority of the year and he's just in his first year as the group's full-time starter. This game's forming up to be one for the books and I could not be more excited.
The Seahawks have been phenomenal on both sides of the ball, however without this defense it's hard to imagine a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points enabled, 1st in opponent EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in opponent rush backyards and second in opponent backyards per play. They've got the the fifth finest redzone defense, rank 6th in total sacks and have forced the fifth most turnovers.
Both their protection unit and protective line have actually been graded in the leading 5 this year and the mastermind behind all of it is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In simply his 2nd year as a head coach, Macdonald's developed among the hardest defenses in the NFL and his protective playbook is deeper than some offensive playbooks I have actually seen.
On the offending side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to and it's cause the NFL's 3rd finest offense, averaging 28.4 points per game. The team ranks 8th in pass backyards, 10th in rush backyards and 3rd in yards per play. The problem with Seattle's offense has actually been Sam Darnold's turnovers.
Darnold lead the league with 20 overall turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense forcing 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks team might look really various. Darnold certainly looked like a top 10 QB this year however the turnover concerns are something to keep an eye on going into the big game.
Varun's Best choices
Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel
Mack Hollins made his go back to the field recently and despite seeing simply 2 targets, he attracted both for 51 lawns in the frigid temperatures of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually likewise cleared this line in 9 of his L11 video games, averaging 5.3 targets and 50.8 getting yards per video game.
Hollins and Maye have actually developed a connection that's been a lots of enjoyable to enjoy and one that generally includes use of the deep ball. He's seeing a typical depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a bulk of his snaps out wide.
Maye completed the year top-10 in deep toss rate and Hollins sits second on the team in targets of 20+ lawns. The Seahawks are quiting almost 70% of their receiving production to outside pass receivers this year and it's why this line simply feels a little bit low.
Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel
Might noise a little weird initially, but Byron Murphy II is in his 2nd year in the NFL and he's been wonderful. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and despite not tape-recording a sack up until now in the postseason, he's been a key part of this defensive line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate so far in the playoffs and he's been able to generate 7 pressures doing it; simply no sacks.
Murphy's also playing on the ideal side of that protective line, at the DT area. The Patriots have provided up 5 sacks up until now in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have actually originated from the left side of that offending line. During the regular season it was more of the same, of the 73% of sacks that could be attributed to the offensive line, 45% of that originated from the left side; primarily from the interior.
The kid's due to tape his very first ever postseason sack and what much better game to do in.
Danny's Best options
We've finally made it to the huge video game. It's always a bittersweet sensation throughout the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, however hopefully we remain in for a heck of a game. And of course, with it comes a wide variety of wagering chances.
I likewise took a couple of shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click on this link for a more thorough breakdown of the players I'll be sweating to take home the award.
Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel
The first bet I positioned was Kenneth Walker to review his 20.5 getting lawn line. Walker has actually played a significant role in the passing video game for much of the season, however we have actually seen a noticeable uptick because participation given that his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.
Because game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker three times. He caught all 3 passes and turned them into 29 backyards. In the NFC Championship Game, Walker took all four of his targets for 49 backyards against the Rams. He's straight gaining from consistent volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, given the protective technique we're most likely to see from New England - he'll look to examine the ball to one of his leading playmakers.
Walker has actually been outstanding at developing space in the passing game, and I anticipate more of the exact same in the Super Bowl. During the regular season, opposing running backs averaged over 30 getting yards on approximately 5 catches per video game against the Patriots. They've shown vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker up to make an effect because department.
Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel
Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for shouting this one out on one of our shows recently. The cost is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing on its own, but the path to the over is there also.
While movement isn't generally associated with Darnold, we've seen him utilize his legs more often since late. He logged 3 brings in the AFC Championship Game, none in the Divisional Round blowout where rushing wasn't required, and he closed the regular season on a five-game streak with a minimum of 3 rushing efforts in each contest.
One crucial element here is the potential for kneel-downs. I'm expecting the Seahawks to win this video game, which unlocks for those late-game hurrying attempts to assist push this prop over the number if Darnold does not arrive through scrambles previously.
More From Danny
As for the video game in general, as I mentioned, I do believe the Seahawks triumph. That stated, the recent improvements from this New England defense give me some time out when it comes to laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.
I'm not completely encouraged the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's examined the past month, or if that's simply been a byproduct of their competition. New England played the league's simplest schedule during the regular season and graded out as more of an average defense overall, but they've shown an obvious uptick in the postseason - especially at a loss zone.
However, the Seahawks are the more total group, and I still expect them to end up on top. Instead of laying the number pregame, I'll be wanting to attack Seattle live and hopefully get a much better number than -4.5.
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